Whiteout Survival – Lucky Wheel Expected Value

Quick Guide to Lucky Wheel

The Lucky Wheel event is very good for players who don’t spend money (F2P) on the game. It happens for three days during the Hall of Champions. You can use gems to spin the wheel. To get the best rewards, it’s best to spin more than 120 times in one event.

(If you don’t have enough gems to fill 120 times, I recommend you to use it for the next event without spinning it now).

The probability of obtaining a shard through wheel is as follows.

• 5 Shards – 4.37%
• 1 Shard – 32.81%

So the 120th expected value is:

• 120×(5×0.0437+0.3281) = 65.592

You can get about 66 shards.

• Considering the 120th final compensation.
• (115 in total).
• 181 can be obtained per event.

• If you’re aiming for 5 stars.
• (Requires 1075 shards).
• It depends on how many times you do the same event.

• If you do the same event 6 times.
• 120 times is enough to achieve it.

• If you do the same event 5 times.
• Do it more than 120 times, or use a common shard.

Note: Our server had 5 times. But some servers had 6 times.

Conclusion:

• If you turn 120 times, the expected value is 181 (Including all compensation).
• Depending on how many times you have a HOC, it may or may not be five stars.

Click to enlarge…